Article
The Ajaokuta Steel Project and cabal fighting for its soul

By Ogacheko Opaluwa

A cautious optimism greeted a recent news by the Federal Ministry of Mines and Steel Development (FMMSD) that the Federal Government of Nigeria (FGN) and Global Infrastructure Nigeria Limited (GINL) had settled out of court, a lingering legal tussle over alleged wrongful termination of a concession agreement between both parties on Ajaokuta Steel Plant (ASP).

The Minister of Justice had specifically announced on behalf of the FGN, that government had finally accepted to pay GINL the sum of $496 million as against the sum of $5.258 billion that the company demanded initially in final settlement of the claims. There was a lot of self- adulation by the Justice Minister on behalf of the FGN as he announced the development gleefully to the nation and indeed rightly so; given the whooping amount of savings that he and his FMMSD counterpart had procured for the FGN.
Nigerians may recall that the FGN under former President Olusegun Obasanjo had concessioned the ASP to GINL in order for the later to resuscitate the moribund steel project under a Resuscitate-Operate-Transfer arrangement.
By this, GINL was expected to apply the expertise and financial muscles that it claimed it possessed at the time to the seemingly ‘white elephant’ project and bring it to life to enable the nation to realize its much awaited industrialization and by extension, national development aspirations.
However, things did not go as planned as GINL was accused by the administration of late President Umaru Musa Yar’Adua that succeeded that of former President Olusegun Obasanjo of acting in bad faith by not sticking to terms of the concession agreement. Among other things, GINL was accused of poor performance on account of patent lack of requisite technical experience, assets striping and mortgaging of Ajaokuta Steel Company’s (ASCO’s) properties with certain Nigerian banks as collaterals for loans that GINL obtained for purposes that were deemed extraneous to the concession agreement.
On the strength of these and other allegations, the administration of late President Umaru Yar’Adua terminated the concession agreement.
Unfortunately, the late President had relied on the legal advice of Federal Ministry of Justice (the same ministry that must have drafted the concession agreement in conjunction with the FMMSD in the first place) to act. It turned out that the concession agreement was heavily skewed in favour of GINL and the action of the FGN at the time, breached several provisions of the agreement.
And so, in keeping with letters and spirit of the concession agreement between it and the FGN, GINL went to arbitration in London demanding a huge sum of $5.3 billion approximately as compensation for trade disruption, loss of business as well as profits and for libelous damages. Like Nigeria’s late legendary Afro Musician, the great Fela Anikolapo-Kuti once sang, the case of the moribund ASP assumed the life and character of the man (or was it a woman?), in the late musical maestro’s ‘double wahala for dead body’ song. The moribund ASP became akin to the deceased person in Fela’s song that was killed in a ghastly motor accident and was being conveyed to its final resting place in a hearse. Unfortunately, the hearse was also involved in a fatal accident enroute the deceased person’s final destination thereby claiming more lives and spilling its human remains cargo on a highway in broad day light.
In African culture, nothing can be more ominous and disgraceful than the dual tragedy that befell the unfortunate corpse. Consequently, the arbitration processes dragged on vexatiously from the times of late President Umar Yar’Adua, through that of former President Goodluck Jonathan to the tenure of incumbent President Muhammad Buhari.
Amicable settlement as opposed to adversarial determination of the matter in court that is the remit of arbitration process became a distant dream not because the parties did not want it, but because of the humongous amount of compensation being demanded by GINL.
To the FGN at the time, it is the people and government of Nigeria that ought to demand for compensation from GINL based on the degree of malfeasance that the company was reported to have wrought on ASP in clear breach of terms of the concession agreement. Therefore, not only was the FGN reluctant to pay the amount demanded by GINL, it also considered the demands of the concessionaire company unlawful, unfair and vexatious.
Therefore, the FGN was willing to drag the matter to its logical conclusion as long as it could ultimately repossess its property for possible dealings with more qualified and better interested parties. Unfortunately, the FGN could not repossess ASP as it envisioned neither could it deal on it with other interested parties.
Herein laid the snag, legal loopholes and economic opportunities that gave rise to current incestuous conspiracy by a sectional cabal against realization of ASP for Nigerians. The arbitration panel sitting in London legally estopped the FGN from repossessing ASP and dealing with its property the way the government deemed fit and best until the matter between the government and GINL was amicably resolved.
Doing so without final resolution of the matter before the arbitration panel would result in the FGN paying more damages than was necessary and as such the government was forced to tread more carefully on the matter and wait endlessly for the intervention of some ‘dogod’.
Information that emerged in the course of the brouhaha on the concession agreement between the FGN and GINL over ASP had it that, a son of sitting former President when the deal was struck was actually the face behind GINL.
It was also alleged that former President by-passed the Bureau of Public Enterprises (BPE) that was responsible for privatization and commercialization of public enterprises in Nigeria at the time to award the concession through executive fiat to his son’s company that did not partake in the initial bidding for ASP. Meanwhile, alternate preferred bidders that were pre-qualified by BPE during the initial bidding process in which a preferred bidder, Messrs Solgas Nigeria Limited emerged were ignored after the termination of the concession granted to Messrs Solgas Nigeria Limited.
As it turned out, GINL neither possessed the requisite technical competencies nor the financial strength that it claimed it had to successfully resuscitate and operate ASP.
This is the genesis of the legal tussle that is making Nigeria to currently commit to paying GINL a whopping $496 million at a time when the country is highly indebted to local and foreign creditors and is currently borrowing to pay monthly salaries. Where the whole thing rankles the most to those that know a bit of the insider deals going on in FMMSD and Federal Ministry of Justice over ASP is that, there is a grand conspiracy by some persons from a section of this country to hijack the ASP in furtherance of their narrow interests.
I had previously highlighted in a previous article how some key and juicy ministries, so-called; including the FMMSD were conceded to the South-West geo-political alliance in the APC coalition as part of terms of the merger agreement between the parties that coalesced into APC.
That was why President Muhammad Buhari appointed Dr Fayemi, erstwhile Governor of Ekiti State as the minister in charge of FMMSD as soon as the APC government was installed. Expectedly, the immediate focus of the Minister as he assumed office at FMMSD was ensuring that members of the alliance obtained as many mining leases on the vast mineral deposits that abound in Nigeria; especially in the North-Central geo-political zone in addition to annexing ASP as a trophy project.
Does any discerning mind therefore wonder why the former minister, above partisan and other extraneous considerations, pushed for amicable settlement of the lingering case between the FGN and GINL?
It was alleged that Dr Fayemi while being in charge of FMMSD was able to at least get GINL to accept something in the region of $897 million or thereabout in addition to resumption by a subsidiary of the company at the Nigerian Iron Ore Mining Company (NIOMCO), Itakpe that was also concessioned to GIML and exhaust the agreed period of the concession. The FMMSD pushed for payment of the agreed sum by the FGN; including through instalmental payments during Dr Fayemi’s tenure to no avail.
When Dr Fayemi left the FMMSD to become Governor of Ekiti State, Arc. Olamilekan Adegbite another Yoruba man from South-West geo-political zone was installed to carry on from where Dr Fayemi stopped. In all of these arrangements, there is a palpable kindred spirit that bound the South-West alliance and their kins together on ASP for certain obvious reasons. Firstly, the settlement is to appease a former Nigerian President and his political base with the hope that they would be able to court his support for the alliance and by extension, the APC in the process.
Secondly, their common interest is to liberate ASP for speedy re-acquisition by certain Alliance interests in the APC coalition in furtherance of their common strategic vision of rapid industrialization of proposed Oduduwa Republic.
Thirdly, there are entrenched pecuniary and political interests of individuals and groups in the whole compensation deal.
For avoidance of doubt, let anyone that doubts me take a cursory look at the South-West geo-political zone and check out the number of steel and related companies that are currently operating there successfully compared to other geo-political zones. Therefore, the current haste to consummate everything concerning Ajaokuta Steel Plant is a culmination of a grand conspiracy that I have alluded to previously. In case anyone may not know, the incumbent APC Government of President Muhammad Buhari with all that it is worth currently has no more than seven (7) months or thereabouts to expiration of its constitutional tenure.
Consequently, no well-meaning government that had got a whole 8 years to reposition ASP but failed to do so, will engage in executive dash in the twilight of its tenure in order to accomplish its vision for the project. It is simply a ploy to take a ‘mouthful’ of our national pie for the road, as those that drink would say.
Also, there is no gainsaying that some people in current APC Government with vested interests in ASP are behind the on-going criminal conspiracy and shambolic arrangements meant to scuttle the very foundation of Nigeria’ industrialization quest. They are not sure if APC will form the next government and rightly so; hence the current hasty arrangements on ASP.
Nigerians must however ask certain pertinent questions about the arrangements that FMMSD in conjunction with Federal Ministry of Justice are making currently even as we bemoan Nigeria’s continuous slide into socio-economic oblivion. In whose interests are the current arrangements on ASP being made; for Nigerians or a section thereof or worst still for a group of privileged individuals? Why are decisions on ASP shrouded in secrecy most times while Nigerians on whose behalf the FMMSD and Justice Ministry claim to be working are fed lies and half-truths? Why have several cabals arisen with unflinching focus on acquiring Ajaokuta Steel Company for themselves at the expense of Nigeria and majority of Nigerians?
It was recently reported how a certain group of course with collusion of FMMSD officials had sought to surreptitiously invite the Russians under dubious and unsustainable financing and technical support arrangements to the country to help Nigeria resuscitate ASP. On the contrary, experts had advised that the previous technical audit of the plant be revisited or a new technical audit be conducted independently to ascertain current technical state and commercial viability of the steel plant before the FGN enters into any resuscitation arrangements with any party for that matter.
Thus, confronted with incontrovertible wisdom of first conducting a technical audit, the current minister in charge FMMSD against reason and ethics decided to procure services of the same Russians that his ministry is seeking to engage in resuscitating the Steel Plant to undertake the technical audit. What the Ministry failed to understand or deliberately ignored was that such arrangement will give room for abuses that will ultimately result in project cost overruns.
For example, the Russians could recommend in their technical audit report replacement of parts and technologies that may still be useful or functional in order to sell their and maximize profits. This was among numerous wrongful decisions that were associated with initial design and construction of Ajaokuta Steel Plant that made the steel plant one of the most expensive steel plants of its time as observed by experts. To illustrate how public officials put personal and group interests over and above national considerations in Nigeria, the minister in charge of FMMSD surreptitiously sought the approval of Bureau of Public Procurement (BPP) to award contract for conduct of fresh technical audit of ASP to the Russians.
However, the Bureau raised observations about the proprietary and efficiency of engaging the Russians to conduct a fresh technical audit of ASP before returning subsequently to resuscitate the Steel plant under a fresh mandate. To BPP, it would amount to the Russians returning to execute the very recommendations that they would make to the FGN. The Bureau therefore advised the FMMSD to revisit the previous technical audit that was conducted by a local engineering firm and possibly re-engage it to review the last technical audit at a lesser cost. Nothing was heard of the advice of BPP on the matter again because it neither suited their purpose nor accorded with the grand plan of vested official and private interests.
As to why has the current APC government of President Muhammad Buhari not been able to execute the government’s much vaunted resuscitation of ASP all these while, the FMMSD minister has consistently bandied COVID-19 pandemic as the main reason that prevented the Russians from coming to Nigeria to help the country revive Ajaokuta Steel Plant.
Nothing can be more spurious and pretentious than the claim of the minister. First the funding arrangement under which Russia was to guarantee some loan from AFREXIM bank on behalf of Nigeria for resuscitation of ASP fell through because the terms of the whole arrangements were not only nebulous, but also unrealistic. Secondly, although it was claimed that Russia had agreed to partial funding of initial operating expenses, it turned out that the arrangement too was predicated on certain conditions-precedent before Russia can redeem that obligation could not be accomplished by FMMSD.
Thirdly, more than 70% of Ajaokuta Steel Plant design, construction, instrumentation and calibration were executed by Ukrainian engineers and experts when the currently independent Ukraine was part of the defunct Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (USSR). Although most of the companies that were involved in the design and construction of ASP or that supplied the steel plant’s equipment from Ukraine when it was part of the USSR have wound-up, some of the engineers, technicians, artificers, instrumentation technicians, machinists, operators etc that were involved in the project are still alive and are conversant with the original plans of Ajaokuta Steel Plant.
In fact, they were said to have provided technical support to the Nigerian engineering firm that conducted the technical audit of ASP over 10 years ago which report forms the basis of FMMSD’s current efforts on the Steel Plant. These facts are known to current minister in charge of the FMMSD but because of the overriding vested interests of certain officials and cabals operating on the periphery of the Ministry, the minister still preferred the Russians.
Regrettably, both Russia and Ukraine are currently engaged in a fratricidal war and so any claim by the FMMSD about reviving Ajaokuta Steel Plant in the immediate through the Russians is not only spurious, but also self-serving.
All these, against the backdrop of news making rounds that the current Minister in charge of FMMSD told a gathering of the Alumni Association of Government College, Ibadan recently that the Federal Government is set to privatize the Ajaokuta Steel Company are what make current haste by FMMSD on ASP suspicious.
According to reports, the minister was said to have added that the operations and management of the steel company would be handed over to a preferred bidder that would be chosen from among nine (9) foreign potential investors that will work with three (3) other companies holding iron ore mining leases that have also shown interests in the Ajaokuta Steel Project. Does this not rhyme with the grand conspiracy that I alluded to at the beginning of this piece? Again, let us ask the Minister, at what time did his ministry place a new advertisement in either local or international media for pre-qualification of interested bidders for Ajaokuta Steel plant without the knowledge of Nigerians?
What exactly was the remit of the transaction advisors that was engaged by the FGN recently at the cost of N853.26 million? What happened to the proposed review or conduct of a fresh technical audit to ascertain current technical status of the steel plant and its commercial viability before any other consideration on the steel plant?
For far too long, the Ajaokuta Steel Plant project had become an official cash cow of corrupt government officials and certain cabals comprising highly placed Nigerians working behind the scene to undermine all efforts towards actualization of the steel project by successive governments.
Let Nigerians and particularly the good citizens of Kogi State on account of these revelations inform Arc. Lekan Adegbite, the Minister in charge of FMMSD that Nigerians are aware of the games that he and his cabals are playing with Ajaokuta Steel project.
Nigerians are not deceived by the seemingly ‘righteous’ haste with which he is currently pursuing the proposal on privatization of ASP, so-called. President Muhammad Buhari’s APC government has not got much time left on its hands to conclude any matter regarding Ajaokuta Steel project meaningfully unless it is being done, as I said before, for certain narrow interests.
Therefore, I urge Arc. Lekan Adegbite to tread cautiously and as a matter of urgency and appropriate officialdom, include a progress report on Ajaokuta Steel Company in his handing over brief for his successors to continue from where he stopped. If and when APC forms the next government and our next President deems it fit and necessary for current minister in charge of FMMSD to continue from where he stopped, so be it. But for now, let it be known to the minister and all his cohorts that Nigerians, particularly Kogites are watching with a keen interest and will never allow any person to leash Ajaokuta Steel Company and indeed the nation’s industrialization cradle on another murky and putrid chain of corruption, waste and some narrow ethno-regional agenda of any kind again. Enough is enough please!
Ogacheko Opaluwa is a freelance Journalist and a Public Affairs Commentator. He contributed this piece from Addis Ababa.

Article
Remembering late Alhaji Dan Sallah, late Alhaji Garba mai biredi and other good people

By Adamu Muhd Usman

If a man is endowed with a generous mind, that is the best of nobility, and you are measured not by how much you undertake but by what you finally accomplish. In life, when you help the people around you to be good, you surely become the best. The people to be discussed in this column need to be attached to some of the above sayings. These personalities touched lives, for the value of a life is measured by the lives it touched.

The late Alhaji Musa Abubakar, popularly known and called ‘Alhaji Musa Dan Sallah’ or ‘Alhaji Dan Sallah,’ was known for his atypical religious commitments, compassion, and distinctive philanthropy.
If Dangote is the most successful businessman in the world of today, Alhaji Musa Dan Sallah was the most successful businessman in Kafin-Hausa in the 70s, 80s, and 90s. If Dangote becomes famous for his wealth, religious engagements, and philanthropy, Alhaji Dan Sallah too.
Alhaji rose from a small business to a dealer and distributor of cement (Ashaka), flour, fuel, gas, and kerosene, as well as a marsh, rearing animals, and farming in both the rainy season and irrigation system.
His business flourished drastically despite his immense donations to charity and zakat giving. He established Islamiyya schools, encouraged, helped, and supported religious teaching and learning and clerics and pupils/students.
Alhaji Musa Dan Sallah built dozens of mosques (Masjid), including Friday (Juma’at) mosques. In and outside Kafin-Hausa town in Jigawa state. To my knowledge, I have never heard, seen, or known a person in our community who built a mosque like Alhaji Musa Abubakar Dan Sallah, the second to him, politics aside, don girma Allah (For God’s sake) is the present Jigawa state governor, Malam Umar Namadi (FCA), a.k.a. Dan Modi. And he has been doing that even before he delved into politics.
One of the things that makes me remember Alhaji Musa Dan Sallah in the month of Ramadan, during fasting. The way and manner he plans and gives out iftar and sadaqat (offering) must be eulogised. Alhaji Musa shared even meat; can someone remember pigeons (Baraysi or Tattabaru)? May Allah reward Alhaji Dan Sallah.
In the second republic (1979), he was an NPN party man and a leader. He was generous even in politics. ‘A kind politician’
Alhaji Musa Abubakar Dan Sallah was the grandfather of Shu’aib Isyaku, a.k.a. Dan Ladi Bayani. He was also the grandfather of Hajia Rakiya Musa Zakari and the biological father of my friend Alhaji Muhammad A Musa, a.k.a. Alhaji Bala, the former Kafin-Hausa local government secretary during H.E. Badaru’s tenure.
Alhaji Musa Abubakar Dan Sallah was a remarkable man of faith, kindness, simplicity, and generosity. He was deeply committed to fostering relationships, promoting reconciliation, and ensuring that everything is done in order, like the spread of Islam.
His house was a mecca of sorts for children, destitute and orphans who thronged in droves, especially during the Zakat period and the month of Ramadan for succour. Alhaji Musa Dan Sallah was a cheerful giver, and God loves cheerful givers. May Allah reward him and grant him eternal rest.
Alhaji Garba mai biredi is a name that rang in the 70s and 80s, especially when it comes to taking care of Almajirai (Islamic pupils/students) and their Malams (teachers). He devoted his life to helping, supporting, and encouraging learning and teaching of the Qur’an.
Also, when it comes to the issue of bakery in and outside Kafin-Hausa for deliciousness, health, affordability, and all that, just put a full stop there. The bakery is still in existence, which is the present day called ‘Salama bread.’ Thank God, his children have emulated the late father’s attitudes of faithfulness, generosity, simplicity, gentility, humility, etc.
I also remember him at the time of the Ramadan fast for what he is doing at iftar and other goodies he used to share with the general public. When you tried coming to his masjid (mosque) close to his house, you will love to come the next day for iftar (breaking the fast).
Alhaji Garba was faithful, an employer of labour, philanthropist, lover, helper, supporter, and encourager of Islamic religious activities. His moralities are worth commending and emulating. He was a very simple, gentle, humble, accommodating, simple-headed man, kind-hearted person, and so friendly. We exchanged nice pleasantries and jokes with him. He does call me ‘Dan Fulani’ as a native/tribal/cultural joke between Fulani and ancient or who were connected with Bare-bari (Kanuri people). May Allah reward him and have mercy on him.
The third person was the late ‘Alhaji, Malam, Baba Idris Suleiman.’ He is an elder brother to Baba Toro. Baba Idi, as some called him. He is the father of Hajiya Hauwa (something). and Alhaji Bello Mam B.
This old man was simple, gentle, and very religious. He liked commiting his life to Islamic activities. He was humble, gentle, and humane attitudes will not give you an edge; he is from a royal family. He is humane and simple to the core.
I remember him always when it comes to magnanimity. Yes, in kindness and generosity he always comes to my memory, especially during the month of Ramadan (fast) because I can vividly reflect back on my memory and guess or say it right. Back in the 70s and 80s, and partly in the 90s, there was no household (family) in the entire Kafin-Hausa town that did not benefit from his generosity at Ramadan every year. That ‘funkaso’ (wheat cake) Ayyah!!! May Allah reward Baba Malam Idi and admit him in Al-Jannar Firdaus.
The fourth person was an all-round businessman. If you are talking of a typical, encompassing, promising business tycoon in Hausa land when you mention the person in the name of Alhaji Ismail, popularly known as Alhaji Badali, just match break. His name as a very wealthy man rang in Kafin-Hausa and its surroundings in the 70s and 80s. He engaged in farming, textiles, PZ (provisions), and transportation. Despite being a very rich man, his lifestyle was worth extolling, commending, and emulating. He was a humane, religious, and easygoing gentleman. His house was just a mecca of sorts, with people mostly his employees and those who came to seek help in one way or the other. He is the biological father of Muhammadu Gwadancy and my friend, Alhaji Musa Abdul Aziz, a.k.a. (Hajindo).
Alhaji Ismail promoted peace and made Kafin-Hausa a liberal place and brought positive initiatives to the community. He helped many to be their best and stand on their own. A philanthropist and a businessman. His life is a lesson and worth emulating. May Allah reward him and place him in the high garden. (Al-Janna)
The person at this juncture is last, not the least, in the list. He is my biological father, Malam (Alhaji) Usman Suleiman, popularly known and called ‘Manu.’. Manu is a name driven from Usman (u) by the Fulbe (Fulani). I can’t be selfish and self-centred if I include my father among the list of the persons in the Kafin-Hausa community who did something worthy of eulogising, commending, remembrance, and emulation. Because he did something that is a virtue.
In the 70s, 80s, and 90s, when any person on transit or a stranger, visitor, or wayfarer stepped into Kafin-Hausa town and he or she or they didn’t know anybody or didn’t have a place to put off. The person will be told and directed to go to ‘Manu’s house.’ If the person arrives at our place, even if my dad isn’t around, the person will get food to eat, water to drink, and a place to sleep, and no matter the number of people, when they come, they will definitely be attended to (accommodated). Also, there used to be a villa of Fulanis; the house used to be a Mecca of sorts, especially on market days and during festivities. Our house is an open house for everyone.
My father was a humane, philanthropic, reserved, accommodating, and well-orientated, civilised Fulani man. He believed in giving, as he said goodness comes from giving, and givers never lack. Also, those who want to live meaningfully and well must help enrich the lives of others. It is true, those who choose to be happy must help others find happiness, for the welfare of each is bound up with the welfare of all. May Allah reward him as well and admit him in Jannatul Firdaus, with the rest and all of us.
May Allah accept us if our lives come to an end. May Allah ease us from this trying moment. May Nigeria rise again and work positively well.
Adamu writes from Kafin-Hausa, Jigawa State.

Article
Malam Nasir El-Rufai ‘s coup and President Bola Tinubu’s counter coup

What many Nigerians may not know, is that President Bola Tinubu and former Kaduna State governor, Nasir El-Rufai, had parted ways long before the 2023 presidential election.
Whatever political relationship that existed between two, hit the hard rocks shortly after Muhammadu Buhari emerged president in the 2015 presidential election. Watchers of the power circle were quick to observe, that Buhari openly displayed his fascination with Tinubu’s strategic moves that paved the way for his emergence as the presidential candidate of the All Progressives Congress (APC).

Buhari acknowledged the fact that without Tinubu’s mastery of the game, there was no way he could have beaten heavyweights like Atiku Abubakar, Rabiu Kwankwaso, Aminu Tambuwal who contested the APC ticket with him. From beating the presidential primary hurdles, to clinching the APC ticket and capping it with a resounding victory in the 2015 presidential election, Buhari more or less elevated Tinubu to the status of his political god.

At his swearing-in ceremony on May 29, 2015, Buhari could hardly conceal his admiration for Tinubu. He kept pumping the hand of the former Lagos State governor in numerous hand shakes and gave him several pats in the back at every close encounter. It became obvious to the public that Buhari had found a benefactor and political godfather in Tinubu. What with his previous three failed attempts at the presidency in 2003, 2007 and 2011.
However, the camaraderie was short lived. Along the line, Buhari started giving Tinubu the cold shoulder a few months into the first leg of his presidency. And for a man not given to much restraint, Buhari continued to drive a wedge between Tinubu and his presidency. It wasn’t long before the content of a leaked memo to Buhari, authored by El-Rufai, revealed that Tinubu’s contribution to Buhari’s emergence as president was being “exaggerated.”
At that point, Tinubu got to understand why his initial chummy relationship with Buhari suddenly grew tepid. The thinly veiled rejection from the then president kept growing. The one-sided cold war became so pronounced that Tinubu’s wife, Remi, then a serving senator, was forced to voice her observation right on the floor of the Senate. She openly accused Buhari of ditching her husband after helping him to win the presidency.
But Buhari’s unprovoked indignation towards his benefactor continued unabated. Credible sources within the ruling APC at the time, observed that Tinubu was not allowed to make input into Buhari’s cabinet picks and other strategic appointments.
Right from his first tenure, a handful of power grabbers within and outside Buhari’s kitchen cabinet, were the ones running the government. They formed a cabal that ran rings around the stubbornly insular ex-president.
Members of the cabal had very little electoral value. They were sufficiently disdainful of Tinubu. They used their domineering influence to keep the Lagos Boy far away from their Aso Villa captive. They created the false impression of holding the joker for Buhari’s re-election in 2019. They started treating Tinubu as an expendable commodity as they kept widening the growing chasm between the Daura born ex-Army General and his political benefactor.
Then EI-Rufai came out in the open. He took upon himself the task of “demystifying” Tinubu by rallying some of the man’s political associates for “insurrection” against their leader. From his base in Kaduna, he became a regular visitor in Lagos, which is the nucleus of Tinubu’s political base in the Southwest. He spared no expense as he openly canvased an end to the era of political godfathers. It was during one of his numerous “missionary journeys” that he asked an incumbent Lagos governor: “When are you going to retire your godfather from politics?” And the then first term governor replied: “Second tenure.” And this was a young man who, against all odds, rode on the godfather’s shoulders to the Lagos government house.
The phrase was a wrap for the godfather’s retirement when the governor gets his anticipated second tenure. He must have forgotten that Tinubu has several pairs of wide ear lobes spread across the state. So the voice note of the governor’s “second tenure” echoed through the walls of Bourdillon. If a governor you installed planned to retire you in his tenure, you can only put him back there at your own peril. That’s how that governor lost a potential re-election ticket in 2019. It was a political death. The man has since taken his seat on the reserve bench, watching events from the sidelines.
But the movie to push Tinubu off the cliff ahead of the 2023 race did not stop. Three other former Southwest governors, who the godfather fought tooth and nail to enthrone in their respective states, joined the fray. With goading by El-Rufai, the former Ekiti governor, Kayode Fayemi, took steps that culminated in challenging Tinubu for the 2023 presidential ticket of the APC. And on the prodding of the Buhari cabal, his Ogun State counterpart, Ibikunke Amosun, also threw his signature skyscraper cap in the ring. Similarly, Yemi Osinbajo, who was vice president to Buhari, also saw in the fray what he thought was an opportunity to upstage Tinubu in the quest for the party’s ticket. Perhaps, the open “rebellion” by the former Osun State governor, Rauf Aregbesola, must have been a blow that hit Tinubu below the belt. Fayemi, Amosun and Osinbajo went about their failed adventures without throwing darts at their estranged political benefactor. From his comfort zone as cabinet minister, the ex Osun governor mounted the rooftop to denigrate his former principal. It must have felt like the thrust of Brutus’ sword in Caesar’s groin. Et tu, Rauf? And this was a man who used to be the godfather’s consigliere. The four “renegade” members of the Tinubu political clan could not handle their individual and collective discomfiture when, against all odds, the man managed to dribble Muhammadu Buhari and his cabal to clinch the APC presidential ticket. The godfather crowned it by beating their ambush to win the presidential election subsequently.
Such character traits in the power politics of the Southwest are well documented by political historians. It happened in the First Republic. It was embraced in the Second Republic. It played out in the short lived Third Republic. In those three previous republics, power brokers in the North had forged alliances with overtly ambitious associates in the Southwest for the purposes of pulling down their powerful political leaders. As it was in 1963-1966, so it was in 1979-1983. Circa 1993 (June 12 annulment). It spilled over to the Fourth Republic, 1999 -2023 and still counting. The trend won’t stop with Tinubu. It will continue after him because politicians are a product of ambitions; moderate or inordinate. So the gentlemen who tested their strength with Tinubu for the APC’s 2023 presidential ticket, did not commit any crime.
El-Rufai’s Hidden Agenda
It must be stated clearly that El-Rufai bore no personal animosity towards Tinubu when he set out to instigate the Jagaban’s loyalists against their leader. The ex-Kaduna only played on the moderate or inordinate ambitions of a few of them for his own political gains. It was a long distance race towards 2023.
He knew of Tinubu’s burning desire to succeed Buhari. And he was smart enough to know that another northerner should not be president after Buhari’s eight years in the saddle. The plan was that El-Rufai wanted to be a running mate on the 2023 presidential ticket of the APC. He had figured it all out; that the party would not contemplate a Muslim-Muslim presidential ticket. He had reasoned that being a Muslim, there was no way he could be on the same ticket with Tinubu who is a fellow Muslim. So for him to be on the 2023 ticket, the presidential candidate must be a Christian from the south, preferably from the Southwest. That was why he zeroed in on Fayemi. He was working towards having the ex-Ekiti governor or any other southern Christian as presidential candidate, with him as running mate to balance the religious equation. He must have based his permutations on the 2015 experience when the APC flatly rejected the idea of having another Muslim as Buhari’s running mate. So in his own calculation, he had reasoned that with Tinubu as the presidential candidate in 2023, he stood no chance of picking the vice presidential ticket. He had imagined the party would pick a northern Christian as Tinubu’s running mate, a choice that would automatically shut him out. But contrary to his calculations, Tinubu picked Kashim Shettima, a fellow Muslim as his running mate.
Candidate Buhari of 2015 and candidate Tinubu of 2023 presented two different scenarios. The two leaders are poles apart in terms of their public perception. The former president arrogantly wears his Islamic fundamentalist emblem like a badge of honour. Tinubu on the other hand, maintains a visage of a liberal Muslim with a pastor wife, and, perhaps a mix of Muslim and Christian among his children. In the Buhari case, a Muslim-Muslim ticket would have proved an electoral disaster for the APC. That ticket was redeemed with “Pastor” Osinbajo’s name on the ballot. It attenuated what the community of Christian voters would have perceived as “an extremist ticket.”
From 2015 when El-Rufai started playing Saul of Tarsus, up to the build up to the 2023 electioneering, Tinubu’s trust in the ex-Kaduna governor had grown as big as the mustard seed. It didn’t require any deep intuition for the president to see through El-Rufai’s half-hearted “on the road to Damascus” experience.
But Tinubu managed to play safe by summoning enough native wisdom in his relationship with El-Rufai when he was seeking the presidential ticket, and during the campaigns. He had observed how the then Kaduna governor switched allegiances from one presidential aspirant to another. He switched over to Tinubu when it was obvious that many of his fellow northern governors had settled for the former Lagos governor. Tinubu craftily wormed his way into El-Rufai’s heart by cajoling him and massaging his oversize ego. At his campaign stop in Kaduna, candidate Tinubu had “begged” El-Rufai not to leave Nigeria after his tenure because he would need his services for his administration to succeed. That was how a dead cat was sold and bought. Dealing with a complex character like El-Rufai required a great deal of wisdom…and gumption too.
Tinubu’s approach in disarming El-Rufai may find expression in a number of Yoruba proverbs:
Eni ma mu obo, a se bi obo. (If you want to catch a monkey, you must learn to act like a monkey). Adete o le fun wara, sugbon o le da wara nu. (A leper may not be helpful in milking a cow, but he can waste a whole bucket of milk if provoked). Bi owo eni o ba ti te eku ida, a ki bere iku to pa baba eni. (You don’t threaten to avenge your father’s unnatural death if you are holding a contested sword by the blade). Tinubu did not court El-Rufai for his electoral value. He only stooped to conquer. It was a wrong time for dissent within his party at that critical period. He could ill afford it. Even at that, he lost the majority votes in Kaduna State to Atiku Abubakar and his PDP. With the 2023 presidential election won and lost, El-Rufai spent considerable time drooling over the president-elect in the hope of securing a place in the emerging cabinet.
Tinubu’s Pound Of Flesh
Tinubu sent El-Rufai on a fool’s errand by adding his name to the list of ministerial nominees he forwarded to the Senate for screening and confirmation. Unconfirmed reports at the time, suggested that he was being considered as potential power minister. And before anyone could say Godwin Emefiele, El-Rufai had scurried to the Senate wing of the National Assembly, awaiting his turn in the screening exercise. The news hit him like thunderbolt; his screening had been put in abeyance on account of an unfavourable “security report.” The ex-Kaduna governor did not need a soothsayer to tell him that the “security report” comes in flesh and blood. Tinubu simply took his pound of flesh from El-Rufai by humbling him in the full glare of the public. The godfather never forgets. El-Rufai was caught off guard. He bleated. He brayed. He was dazed. It was a humiliating experience. He got hit by a ricochet from a bullet he had fired at the godfather.
El-Rufai had claimed that Tinubu’s role in Buhari’s 2015 electoral victory was exaggerated. But this same Buhari failed in three previous attempts. Did he mean to say that without Tinubu, Buhari would have won in the Southwest where he was rejected in three consecutive election circles? If he still insists that Tinubu’s role in Buhari’s election was exaggerated, then how would he rate his own contribution to Tinubu’s victory in 2023? Tinubu won 29.4 percent votes in El-Rufai’s Kaduna while Atiku won 40.8 percent. Check the records.
The long and short of the story, is that Jagaban outsmarted his opponent in a political chess game. It’s coup and counter coup. Tit for tat. And today, the godfather El-Rufai plotted to retire from politics, is now holding the sword by the hilt. What a thing about politics. In frustration, he dumped the APC for the Labour Party a few days ago. El-Rufai’s cat has undergone sphynx mutation. It is in desperate need of covering to shield its furless skin from the vagaries of the elements. May Shehu Sani’s wish for him never prevail.

Article
Legends lost! An era closes! A nation mourns!

By Abiodun KOMOLAFE

The passing of Chief Ayo Adebanjo, a renowned elder statesman and Afenifere chieftain, and the breaking news about Chief Edwin Clark, mark the end of an era.

Focusing primarily on Adebanjo, he represented, very much like Clark, the spirit of emancipation, which arose out of the earlier stages of the agitation for an end to the colonial incursion in Africa. Indeed, Clark was actually, as a student at Holborn College of Law in London, an active member of the West African Students’ Union (WASU). Between 1952 and 1965, he was also a member of the Honourable Society of Inner Temple, London.
WASU is of great significance, for it triggered off the current of thinking, based on the progressive philosophical base, not just for dismantling colonialism but for presenting a programme of action to guide the post-colonial state. The position of WASU affected the thinking of movements such as the Action Group (AG) in Nigeria and the Convention People’s Party (CPP) in Ghana, amongst others.
Indeed, the manifesto pledge of the AG, to ‘make life more abundant’, is aligned with WASU’s affiliation with the ground-breaking manifesto of the Labour Party in 1945, ‘Let us face the future’, which has stood as the most important manifesto ever issued. Significantly, it was the AG manifesto in 1951 which persuaded Adebanjo to switch from the National Council of Nigeria and the Cameroons (NCNC) to AG. The late sage obviously felt that AG’s manifesto was in alignment with his own political philosophy.
By the time the foremost nationalist switched to AG, the NCNC had undergone a significant shift in its ideology. Following the death of Herbert Macaulay, the party abandoned its initial stance on a federalist post-colonial state and adopted a highly centralized ‘unification’ position. This drastic change had far-reaching consequences, leading to disastrous effects that still plague the country today.
Adebanjo’s shift in allegiance revealed the politics of an era which was based on philosophical ideas and ideological thrusts. This is in marked contradistinction to today’s trend of ‘decamping’ for purely personal advancement and pecuniary benefits. He remained steadfast in his progressive beliefs from his early 20s until his passing at 96. This is why an era has passed, and the passing of that era should be treated with deep regret. The highly respected Nigerian did not shift from his ideological position, through tribulations, setbacks and defeats, including the prospect of going to jail.
During the 1962 treasonable felony trial, Adebanjo faced a choice: abandon his principles and gain a lucrative appointment by testifying for the prosecution, or stand firm. He chose the latter! Today, the political atmosphere is in direct contrast to the faithfulness exhibited by the Isanya Ogbo, Ijebu Ode-born leader and the nation is financially and morally poorer for it. Nigeria is today mired in the ’development of the underdevelopment’, underachievement and an alarming slide into the fringes in the world pecking order.
In my January 6, 2009 article, ‘Afenifere: Once upon an identity’, I wrote that many Yorubas believed the once-revered body had become extinct, with its relevance dying even before the passing of notable figures like Bola Ige and Abraham Adesanya. Fast-forward to today, and the question remains: how relevant is Afenifere in the face of widespread crises, including security concerns and rampant unemployment in the Southwest?
If a country’s politics is not ideologically driven, there are always consequences. In other words, if Nigeria had continued to produce people who believed in the ideological current and stayed faithful, the country could have lived to be at par with Brazil, which is the world’s 10th largest economy; if not, with India, which is the 5th largest.
Instructively, there was a clear ideological mandate of President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva that, in his first coming, that translated into practice moved forty million Brazilians out of poverty and built one million housing units annually for eight years. Nigeria could have achieved similar progress, and more, if it had continued to create the atmosphere that produced Ayo Adebanjo and people like him, such as Edwin Clark.
Speaking generally, Nigeria’s biggest problem is the attitude of its leaders and the popular. Imagine the plight of the average citizen! As fate would have it, Nigeria now has one of the highest poverty rates in the world, with significant spatial and socio-economic inequalities, exacerbating social unrest and instability. The living standards are going down, and there’s mass unemployment, with large trade deficits and dependence on oil exports not only resulting in economic stagnation but also hindering development. Here, corruption is a fair game.
Bribery is also a fair game. The trouble is that either is a seed; once it is sown, it will surely germinate,
then bear fruit. After that comes the harvest season.
The reality is unambiguous: many families survive on less than N5,000 per week, while the minimum wage barely covers the cost of a bag of rice. Soaring gasoline prices, inadequate education, healthcare and nutrition have all contributed to a vicious cycle of poverty and underdevelopment. To make matters worse, the inflation rate has skyrocketed to an all-time high, exacerbating the country’s economic challenges; and it is as if the gods are angry!
With these pressing issues staring us in the face, what concrete solutions is Afenifere proposing, and how is it engaging with organizations like the Development Agenda for Western Nigeria (DAWN) to address these challenges? Furthermore, as Afenifere’s stance seems to swing and swerve depending on the whims of its leaders, is the organization presenting solid position papers and working collaboratively with others to drive meaningful
change? The fall of giants like Ayo Adebanjo serves as a poignant reminder that the baton of leadership must be
passed to a new generation of Nigerians who are equally committed to the ideals of democracy, social justice, and federalism. In saner societies, Afenifere is supposed to have evolved into a research institute powerhouse for Southwest Nigeria, proffering ironclad solutions to state and local governments on education, internal security, food security and health challenges. But is in doing that?
How many people relate to Afenifere these days, apart from a tiny segment of the elite? Again, if one may ask, what’s the continued relevance of Afenifere? Its influence has waned, and its connection to the average person, particularly outside the elite circle, is tenuous at best. If you talk to somebody in Ijebu-Jesa, my Native Nazareth, what is his concern with Afenifere? Does he know what it stands for? With the last of the titans finding their way to their Creator, will Afenifere still be relevant in decades to come?
Adebanjo was once here! Now, he belongs in history! He has done his bit and he has left the stage. He fought tirelessly for his principles, unyielding in the face of adversity, and uncompromising in his pursuit of a more just and equitable society. His legacy, now forever entwined with the fabric of Afenifere, stands as an inspiration, illuminating the enduring importance of equity, good governance and social justice – timeless ideals that transcend the boundaries of mortality.
Adebanjo’s passing represents what we have lost and what might have been. The lesson from the passing of people like him should be taught in schools and documentary dramas made about their lives in order to instruct, guide and guard. Perhaps, it’d still be possible to rekindle that era!
May the beautiful souls of Chief Ayo Adebanjo and Chief Edwin Clark find rest in the bosom of their
Creator!
May the Lamb of God, who takes away the sin of the world, grant us peace in Nigeria!
*KOMOLAFE wrote from Ijebu-Jesa, Osun State, Nigeria ( ijebujesa@yahoo.co.uk )

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