Trump poised to beat Biden in 6 key battleground states – poll

Former President Donald Trump would likely defeat President Joe Biden in six critical battleground states if the 2024 election were to occur now, new polling data released Friday shows.

Although the Republican and Democratic parties have yet to officially choose their presidential nominee, Biden and Trump have all but secured a rematch against each other after they both swept their early state primary contests. Trump is expected to officially be nominated at the GOP convention in July, as is Biden at the Democratic convention in August.

Biden managed to defeat Trump in the battleground states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin in the 2020 election, while the former president carried North Carolina. Now, new polling from the Cook Political Report, GS Strategy Group (a Republican polling firm) and BSG (a Democratic polling firm) suggests the results could all but reverse in the expected November rematch.

Presidential elections are decided by the Electoral College, which awards each state a certain number of electoral votes, based on population. A presidential candidate needs to secure 270 electoral votes for victory, and winning the national popular vote does not guarantee success. Trump lost the popular vote in 2016, as did former President George W. Bush in 2000. With most states leaning solidly Republican or Democrat, the Electoral College gives just a few critical states outsized influence in deciding the ultimate winner.

Here’s a closer look at the results of the latest Cook Political Report poll. The survey included 3,969 voters in the seven states, and it was conducted from May 6 to May 13.

Newsweek reached out to the Trump and Biden campaigns via email for comment on Friday afternoon.
(SOURCE: Newsweek)