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Pressure mounts on FG treasury as DMO over sells October bond auction

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As funding pressures on the fiscal coffers of the Federal Government (FG) continues, and in line with the trend observed at recent auctions, the Debt Management Office (DMO) has sold N192.8billion worth of bonds against the N150.0billion offered.

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Information obtained from the debt office revealed that the DMO conducted the October bond auction, offering to sell N150.0billion worth of bonds across the 2026s, 2037s and 2050s.

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Analysts United Capital Research explains that this clearly reflects the funding pressures on the fiscal coffers of the Federal Government (FG). According to the analysts, despite the issuance of Eurobonds, the underperformance of revenue FG’s at 67.8 per cent as of Aug-2021and unrelenting expenditure needs which has already attained 94.0per cent performance as of Aug-2021) continues to widen FG’s deficit. As a result, there is a continuing over-reliance on the domestic debt market for funding needs.

The auction according to United Capital Research was met with decent investors’ interest as the 2026s, 2037s and 2050s recorded bid-to-cover ratios of 0.9x, 1.6x and 2.4x, respectively. “Overall, the auction received a total bid of N250.7billion, implying a bid-to-cover ratio of 1.7x.

“That said, we note that bid levels at the auction continue to follow the weakening trend observed at the September bond auction,” the firm observed in a note to clients.

To give perspective, the bid-to-cover ratio of 1.7x in October’s bond auction pales in comparison to the last three bond auctions (Jul – 1.9x, Aug – 2.4x, Sept – 2.2x), it further stated.”

We think this corroborates the evidence of weak liquidity in the bonds market while investors remain passive in the face of aggressive government debt capital raise. Overall, marginal rates at the October auction closed northwards with the rates closing at 11.65 per cent (previously 11.60%), 12.95per cent (previously 12.75%), and 13.20per cent (previously 13.00%) on the 2026s, 2037s and 2050s, respectively.

“Looking ahead, we expect sentiments in the bonds market to remain bearish as the secondary markets reprice bonds to auction levels. “In addition, we anticipate short-sellers would begin to trade in the market which would further push yields higher in the near term.

“Also, we note that short and mid-tenor bonds in the secondary market are trading at a premium, relative to auction pricing,” according to analysts from United Capital.

The 2026s and 2037s closed trading (as of 20th October) at 10.90 per cent and 12.89per cent, compared to 11.65per cent and 12.95per cent at the recent auction. The firm further observed that these bonds could see increased short selling activities in the near term, driving yields higher.

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Economy

2025 Revenue: FG, States, LGAs share N1.678 trillion

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Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Wale Edun (second from right) ; Accountant General of the Federation, Shamseldeen Ogunjimii (in white) and other officials at the March 2025 Federation Account Allocation Committee (FAAC) meeting held in Abuja.

A total sum of N1.678 trillion, being February 2025 Federation Account Revenue, has been shared to the Federal Government, States and the Local Government Councils.

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The revenue was shared at the March 2025 Federation Account Allocation Committee (FAAC) meeting held in Abuja; chaired by the Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Wale Edun.

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The meeting was attended by the Accountant General of the Federation, Shamseldeen Ogunjimi.

The total distributable revenue of N1.678 trillion comprised distributable statutory revenue of N827.633 billion, distributable Value Added Tax (VAT) revenue of N 609.430 billion, Electronic Money Transfer Levy (EMTL) revenue of N35.171 billion, Solid Minerals revenue of N28.218 billion and Augmentation of N178 billion.

According to a communiqué issued by the Federation Account Allocation Committee (FAAC), total gross revenue of N2.344 trillion was available in the month of February 2025. Total deduction for cost of collection was N89.092 billion while total transfers, interventions, refunds and savings was N577.097 billion.

The communiqué stated that gross statutory revenue of N1.653 trillion was received for the month of February 2025. This was lower than the sum of N1.848 trillion received in the month of January 2025 by N194.664 billion.

Gross revenue of N654.456 billion was available from the Value Added Tax (VAT) in February 2025. This was lower than the N771.886 billion available in the month of January 2025 by N117.430 billion.

The communiqué stated that from the total distributable revenue of N1.678 trillion, the Federal Government received total sum of N569.656 billion and the State Governments received total sum of N562.195 billion.

The Local Government Councils received total sum of N410.559 billion and a total sum of N136.042 billion (13% of mineral revenue) was shared to the benefiting States as derivation revenue.

On the N827.633 billion distributable statutory revenue, the communiqué stated that the Federal Government received N366.262 billion and the State Governments received N185.773 billion.

The Local Government Councils received N143.223 billion and the sum of N132.374 billion (13% of mineral revenue) was shared to the benefiting States as derivation revenue.

From the N609.430 billion distributable Value Added Tax (VAT) revenue, the Federal Government received N91.415 billion, the State Governments received N304.715 billion and the Local Government Councils received N213.301 billion.

A total sum of N5.276 billion was received by the Federal Government from the N35.171 billion Electronic Money Transfer Levy (EMTL). The State Governments received N17.585 billion and the Local Government Councils received N12.310 billion.

From the N28.218 billion Solid Minerals revenue, the Federal Government received N12.933 billion and the State Governments received N6.560 billion.

The Local Government Councils received N5.057 billion and a total sum of N3.668 billion (13% of mineral revenue) was shared to the benefiting States as derivation revenue.

The Augmentation of N178 billion was shared as follows: Federal Government received N93.770 billion, the State Governments received N47.562 billion and the Local Government Councils received N36.668 billion.

In February 2025, Oil and Gas Royalty and Electronic Money Transfer Levy (EMTL), increased significantly while Value Added Tax (VAT), Petroleum Profit Tax (PPT), Companies Income Tax (CIT), Excise Duty, Import Duty and CET Levies recorded decreases.

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Economy

Protesters urge president Tinubu to protect Diaspora housing investments along Lagos-Calabar coastal highway

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A group under the aegis of Renewed Hope Concern Citizens (RHCC) on Friday staged a peaceful protest, calling for President Bola Tinubu’s intervention in protecting housing investments owned by Nigerians in the diaspora along the Lagos-Calabar coastal highway.

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The protesters gathered in front of the United States Embassy in Abuja, carrying banners with inscriptions such as; Minister of Works, Senator Umahi should revert to the original gazetted alignment as promised. Enough is Enough; Association of Nigerian Diaspora Investors (ANDI) has cried enough, please intervene to save their energy to promote, support, and assist the Renewed Hope Administration; Renewed Hope Concern Citizens want Diaspora Investments to be protected and given adequate attention among others

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“As committed stakeholders in the nation’s economic progress, we have consistently supported the government’s vision, particularly in revitalizing Nigeria’s infrastructure and energy sector. While we acknowledge the administration’s positive strides, recent developments have raised concerns about the misalignment of energy policies, particularly regarding the 2006 Gazetted alignment.

“We urgently call on the Minister of Works, Senator David Umahi, to restore the 2006 Gazetted alignment to ensure continued growth and stability in Nigeria’s energy sector,” said Hon. Tayo Agbaje, Chairman of RHCC, while addressing journalists.

The group refuted the Minister’s claim that an underground cable warranted the removal of structures in Okun Ajah, Lagos and outlined several reasons why President Tinubu’s intervention is crucial.

According to them, The 2006 Gazetted alignment has long provided a stable and predictable framework, essential for maintaining investor confidence in Nigeria’s energy sector.

“Diaspora investors contribute significantly to job creation, business growth, and the overall economy, making their protection vital to sustaining these contributions.

“The President should investigate the Minister of Works’ claim about the underground cable allegedly interfering with the 2006 Gazetted plan.

“Restoring the alignment will reinforce Nigeria’s commitment to a stable investment climate, boosting foreign investor confidence and attracting much-needed capital for infrastructure development.

“Deviating from established policies creates uncertainty, undermining both current and future foreign investments.

“Maintaining the 2006 Gazetted alignment will signal Nigeria’s dedication to long-term economic stability, further reassuring both local and international investors,” the group stated.

The RHCC reaffirmed its support for the Association of Nigeria in Diaspora Investments (ANDI) in its quest to uphold the 2006 Gazetted alignment plan of the Lagos-Calabar Coastal Highway.

They urged the government to act swiftly to protect diaspora investors, as this will strengthen Nigeria’s investment future and ensure continued economic success under the Renewed Hope Administration.

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Economy

Ogunjimi promises to collaborate with ex-Accountants-General in taking treasury house to greater heights

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The newly appointed Accountant General
of the Federation, Mr Shamseldeen B. Ogunjimi said he would collaborate and tap from the wealth of experiences of all Former Accountants -General of the Federation to bring the nation treasury to a greater height.

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Mr Ogunjimi disclosed this while receiving two Former Accountants-General of the Federation, Dr John Naiyeju and Dr Ibrahim Dankwambo in his office in Abuja.

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Speaking earlier, Senator Ibrahim Dankwambo suggested the upgrading of the Treasury Academy, Orozo owned by the Office of the Accountant-General of the Federation (OAGF) to a Degree (University) awarding Institute.

Also, Dr. John K. Naiyeju charged the new Accountant-General to carry along everyone and advised him to make staff welfare his priority.

In a related development, the Accountant-General of the Federation expressed his willingness to work with all professional organisation that will bring positive development to the nation, especially, his professional and Academy colleagues of the doctorate class.

Mr Ogunjimi called on his classmates to come up with ideas and suggestions that will enhance the management of the nation’s treasury that will positively affect the economy development.

In his remarks, the Chairman Forum of Doctorate Students, Ibrahim Aliyu said that they were in Treasury House to congratulate one of their own and assured him of their support towards his successful tenure.

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